CLE (+7.5) @ TEN. I think the spread is absolutely ridiculous on this game. Rarely do the Browns lose by more than a touchdown. A majority of their losses are last minute flukes, consistant flukes admittedly, but it seems the Browns are always in it until the end. So in this game, against a team that has been just as bad as the Browns for the past decade, I'm not only taking the Browns to cover -- I'm going with the Browns to WIN. (And they better, because there's not many more W opportunities on the schedule.)
CAR @ NO (+2.5). Name the last time the Saints were underdogs at home. I certainly can't do it. I bet it happens about as often as the Patriots being an underdog at home. So I'll take the points and the Cajuns in this divisional matchup which will feature either a) Cam Newton at less than 100% or b) Derek Anderson.
PIT @ MIA (-7.5). I wouldn't classify this one as a lock but I find it unlikely the Steelers will cover the spread in this matchup. The Dolphins are lousy but Pittsburgh has their flaws too. NFL games are designed to be close so I expect Miami to stay in the game 'til the end.
ATL (+7.5) @ SEA. The Falcons' offense has been great this season and I expect them to put up points against a Seahawk defense that peaked two years ago.
DAL (+4.5) @ GB. Dak Prescott is playing just well enough to keep the job when Tony Romo is (cough, cough) healthy. The word 'healthy', of course, takes on a different meaning when describing Romo. He will never be fully healthy. He's done. Meanwhile, the Packers don't look as tough as in years past. I see the Cowboys pulling off the upset at Lambeau.
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